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CBN’s Fixed Income Overhaul: A Regulatory Powder Keg?

The Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) plan to overhaul the fixed-income market has ignited a regulatory firestorm, with analysts and market operators warning of potential unintended consequences. The CBN’s directive to migrate fixed-income trading and settlement functions from the FMDQ Securities Exchange to its Real-Time Gross Settlement (RTGS) and Scripless Securities Settlement System (S4) has raised concerns about regulatory overreach and commercialization.

The move is expected to consolidate the CBN’s control over government bond and Treasury bill issuances, potentially undermining the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) regulatory authority. This development has sparked debate about the CBN’s statutory powers and the potential for dual regulation. With Nigeria’s top-tier banks (FUGAZ group) collectively investing N49.152 trillion in securities and Treasury bills in nine months, the implications of this regulatory tussle are far-reaching.

The banks’ financial statements reveal a significant reliance on sovereign debt instruments and CBN-backed placements, generating substantial returns. However, the loan-to-deposit ratios suggest a more cautious approach to lending, with some banks preferring the security of government debts. The CBN’s plan may further exacerbate this trend, potentially stifling credit growth and private sector development.

While proponents argue that the reform will enhance transparency and efficiency, critics warn of potential conflicts of interest and regulatory arbitrage. The success of this initiative hinges on transparency, collaboration, and regulatory alignment with the SEC. As the CBN navigates this complex regulatory landscape, market participants are left wondering about the future of Nigeria’s fixed-income market and the potential implications for the broader financial sector.

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